• Gold: 1,264.40 -2.79
  • Silver: 17.59 0.05
  • Euro: 1.087 -0.001
  • USDX: 98.791 -0.02
  • Oil: 50.58 -0.41

Silver Market Morning: Oct-24-2016 -- Gold price consolidating heavy SPDR gold ETF sales!

6 hours 32 min ago

Demand in China is strong, as expressed in Yuan prices in Shanghai. This will pull gold into China from London. Only the People’s Bank of China buys ‘London Good Delivery’ [0.995 quality.]. Switzerland re-refines London’s gold into higher quality [0.9999], half a percent better quality. We expect a resumption of the flow of the highest quality gold into the Far East, that’s both China and India.

Silver: The “Five Year Plan” and the Great Leap Forward

Five years ago paper silver contracts on the COMEX hit a multi-decade high over $48 on April 29, 2011. At the end of April 2016 the silver price is bouncing around $17, down about 65% from its April 2011 high. The low occurred at about $13.60 in December of last year, when paper silver prices were down about 70% from their April 2011 high.

SilverCrest Announces Additional High Grade Underground Results At Las Chispas; Commencement of Surface Drilling Program

N. Eric Fier, CPG, P.Eng, President & CEO stated, “We continue to systematically complete our planned underground rehabilitation program at Las Chispas to evaluate areas of known high grade silver-gold mineralization. To date, we have accessed two kilometres of the estimated six kilometres of underground workings. Our first detailed underground channel sampling, as reported below, indicates continuous high grade areas that are easily accessible for potential future mining. In late March, we also commenced a surface drilling program to test extensions of known mineralized veins for potential new discoveries. For the next three months, we will be focusing on continually accessing historical underground workings to assess further high grade continuous mineralization.”

Silver Market Morning: April-28-2016 -- The falling dollar boosts dollar silver price!

The Shanghai Gold Fixings are now showing just how currency moves are affecting the gold price. Overnight the dollar has weakened in a host of currencies including the Yuan. Please note that this rise in the gold price is not Yuan strength but dollar weakening. As a result, while there were only slight moves inside China in the Yuan gold Price, in dollar terms the moves were compounded by the weak dollar.

Silver Sell Signal Begins Its Long Term Rise

It may seem odd talking about sell signals at the beginning of a new bull market for silver, but let us get into perspective what bull markets are all about. Silver has seen strong buying in the retail sector as investors snap up silver eagles and similar bullion coins. Likewise, the silver ETFs as a group are near record levels.

Grave Silver Mistake

This is a measure of silver stocks moving from one place to another. This statistic might be important to businesses in the trade, such as refiners and depositories. It is not useful in predicting the price. Ironically, the big gain in ETF inventories may be metal coming from Asia. Metal flows from where it is cheaper to where it is priced more richly. If speculators relentlessly push up the ask price on the ETFs, then they will draw in metal from where it is cheaper. To underscore our point about abundance, isn’t this a sign of it? The marginal use of metal is to go into paper vehicles designed to let asset managers speculate on the price of silver using an equity.

Silver Bullion “Momentum Building” As “Supply Trouble Brewing”

“There are signs that this year could be a pivotal year for the silver market,” New York-based CPM Group said in its “Silver Yearbook 2016.” “Silver mine supply is forecast to decline for the first time in 2016, since 2011,” CPM said, noting scheduled closures and planned production cutbacks.

Silver Market Morning: April-27-2016 -- Will the Fed booost Silver prices?

At the start of the week the Shanghai Gold Fixings were higher than those in London, but today we see them very much in line with New York, transitioning into London’s opening. So we can say that at the start of the process it appears that there is a ’24-hour market’ for gold. Time will tell if this continues and how the pricing power changes.

Silver Price Forecast: Silver Rally Will Bring Bond Market Collapse

On the charts, I have shown how interest rates and silver prices have moved together during the first phase of the 70s silver bull market (1971 to 1974), as well as the second phase (1976 to 1980). I have also marked the big divergence that occurred from 2001 to 2011 (the first phase of the silver bull market). This is the biggest period of divergence over the last 100 years. Since silver and interest rate are positively correlated in the long run, it is almost guaranteed that they will move together (up) during the next phase of the silver bull market. A spike in interest rates (meaning – a collapse of bonds) will provide an explosive boost to the coming silver rally.

Silver Market Morning: April-26-2016 -- Silver price waiting for the Fed!

Today, the FOMC meets with little prospect if any, of a rate rise. The focus is on the statement that comes out of the meeting tomorrow. What we all are fully aware of is that the Fed does not want to see a stronger dollar. Indeed it would prefer to see a weaker dollar. Currently the policies of the E.U. and Japan, no matter what they say are designed to weaken their respective currencies.

Silver Market Morning: April-25-2016 -- Silver holding higher levels

The gold price is being pulled back not only by a weaker euro but by the upcoming FOMC meeting and that of the Bank of Japan. We do not expect any rate change from the FOMC but continued talk of how vulnerable the U.S. economy is to the global economy and a strong dollar. We expect that for the remainder of the year the Fed will be keenly watching U.S. data and will react to any strengthening of the Dollar negatively.

Silver’s on Fire

To be conservative—though this risks missing a quick collapse—one should wait to see the momentum peter out. As we often say at times of bearishness, we NEVER RECOMMEND NAKED SHORTING a monetary metal. The way to play this move would be to go long gold and short silver. If the gold silver ratio is 70, short 70 ounces of silver for every ounce of gold you buy. 70 would be an attractive entry point (assuming momentum dies by then). If the ratio rises to 83, then you have a gain of over 18.5%. For example, if you buy 100oz gold and short 7,000 oz silver, you will pick up over 15.6 ounces of gold.

Silver Commitments of Traders – Halloween is Arriving Early This Year

By that I mean, it just keeps getting scarier and scarier. My guess is that every speculator on the planet is long silver/short gold or outright long silver. That of course is an exaggeration but I am not exaggerating when I categorically state that the silver market is a train wreck just waiting to happen. As I have said before, and will say so again – I would rather miss any more upside in this market than get long now, not with a trade so lopsidedly jammed with speculators on the long side. I will leave that for the daredevils and others who like driving the stagecoach as close to the edge of the mountain pass road as they possibly can.

Silver Market Morning: April-22-2016 -- Dollar rising, Silver soaring!

Mario Draghi and the E.C.B. did not raise rates, which was expected, but he did open the door to negative interest rates in the future. This sent the euro weaker, but as in the past we do not expect this to last. The determination of the U.S. market forces is for a lower dollar and we have no doubt that is what we are headed for. After all it’s one thing to talk and another to act. Germany’s wish to see the end of such stimulus was dismissed by Draghi, otherwise the euro would have been stronger today. In Japan the talk of deeper negative interest rates also weakened the Yen, to 111 against the dollar.

Blow Off in Progress but ‘Launch Phase’ Confirmed

For months now we have speculated in NFTRH that a new inflation phase is in the offing (after the first mover, gold, rises amid global economic contraction) and the thrust off the bottom in the precious metals complex and now the rest of the commodity pack, indicates it is here. However, a mini blow off within the launch phase in silver is happening right now and this will eventually bring a reaction (momentum will blow out when it blows out, which is how blow offs work), which is not likely to be a gentle sideways consolidation. What is happening now is like a microcosm of spring 2011, only a coming correction would very likely not be terminal. Its job will be to confirm a new ‘inflation bull’ market. Watch the precious metals as always, for the early clues.

Fun with Comex Silver Open Interest

Gold prices remain firm today...with the exception of the $5 drop at the London PM Fix...and they remain at a critical juncture. Price needs to...

Silver Market Morning: April-19-2016 -- Gold rising, silver soaring!

Silver – The silver price is amazing all as it continues to soar. Since yesterday it has risen 3.71%. It does appear to have a very long way to go up still, running ahead of the gold price. While the two metals are usually treated as monetary metals [alternatives to currencies] silver’s historic price performance is far more vigorous than gold and far more volatile. It is a narrower market than gold, which has many facets in its monetary role. Nevertheless, right now retail investors as well as institutional investors note its historic performance [peak $50 an ounce] and Technical background which points to a sterling performance.

Here’s what’s behind silver’s sterling rally (CNBC video)

Silver has enjoyed an incredible surge recently, but some analysts doubt the sustainability of the metal's rally.

Silver Trades at 11-month Highs

"High-flying silver futures continued to trade at 11-month highs in Wednesday action due to industrial demand, while gold slipped after earlier tapping the closely watched $1,250 per ounce level. Global economic recovery hopes are helping silver to gain ground on gold, a largely financial market-driven instrument used as a hedge and for other purposes. The gold/silver ratio has dropped to below 74, its lowest level since early November. Silver futures are up about 23% this year, outperforming gold’s 18% rise. In early Wednesday trading, silver for May SIK6, +0.72% delivery advanced 4 cents, or 0.3%, to $17.02 an ounce on Comex. Silver earlier tickled $17.26 and is trading at its highest since late May, according to FactSet."

Silver Bullion “Has So Much More to Give” – 5 Charts Show

“Silver has the best-looking chart among all the commodities,” said Andy Pfaff, who as chief investment officer for commodities at MitonOptimal Group in Cape Town increased his allocation to the metal over the past two weeks. “When silver moves, it really, really moves, and everyone wants to be on the right side of that trade.” The metal is up more than 11 percent in the last two weeks after underperforming gold in the first quarter on concerns slow Chinese growth would curb demand in the biggest consumer of commodities. While both are precious metals, silver has more uses in manufacturing. Silver traded at $16.909 an ounce on Wednesday."

Silver Warming Up Nicely

 Since silver hit a low of $13.63 on the 14th December last year, it has been generally up for silver with some predictably wild turns on the...

Silver Prices May Be Ready to Shine - After a tremendous five-year fall, the price of silver is slowly creeping higher

"Is it time to add a little silver to the mix in your portfolio? Investors doing so will need to be cautious and patient at the same time. The market has certainly bounced considerably recently following a brutal years-long bear market where the value of the metal fell dramatically. The slide in prices started in early 2011, when the price fell from $48.70 a troy ounce to $13.71 by late last year, according to data from the London Bullion Market Association. Prices have subsequently rebounded to more than $16 an ounce as investors piled in. "We are seeing very strong investment demand and that makes me think silver prices can move higher," says Jeff Christian, managing partner at consulting firm CPM Group in New York, and a multi-decade veteran of the commodity markets."

Silver futures post highest close in nearly a year

Silver futures rallied Tuesday, posting their highest finish in almost a year, while gold futures rose to a one week high, with the U.S. dollar-denominated metals getting a boost from weaker greenback. Silver for May SIK6, +4.41% delivery advanced 71.9 cents, or 4.4%, to settle $16.972 an ounce on Comex. That’s the highest close since late May, according to FactSet.

Silver Market Morning: April-19-2016 -- Yuan Gold Fix arrives!

Yuan Gold Fix The Shanghai Gold Exchange set the price at 256.92 Yuan a gram ($1,234.05 an ounce) at the 10:30 a.m. session after members of the exchange submitted buy and sell orders for metal of 99.99% purity. You will find a $2 or $3 variation dependent on what exchange rate you use and if you use the bid or ask sides of the exchange rate. To get the price in dollars, one will have to take the SGE gold price and divide it by 32.1507465 x 1,000 to get a price per ounce in Yuan. Then divide this price by the $: Yuan exchange rate at the time of the Fix. E.g. 256.92 / 32.1507465 x 1,000 /6.4746 = $1,234.22. We discuss these in our newsletters – subscribe now! Members include Chinese banks, jewelers, miners and the local units of Standard Chartered Plc and Australia & New Zealand Banking Group Ltd. It is convincing that the first Shanghai Gold Fix was in line with the London prices. We do expect divergences in time, but for now both are on the same page. We have no doubt that when these divergences appear, they will be because China decides they will.

Silver Price Forecast 2016: A Powerful Signal for the Coming Silver Rally

The silver price and the US Dollar/South African Rand exchange rate (USD/ZAR) have a very interesting relationship that goes back a long way. Due to the nature of this relationship, I have found the USD/ZAR chart to be a good tool for determining a silver bottom. In Jan 1980, when silver peaked at about $50, the USD/ZAR was trading at around 0.817. Today, the USD/ZAR rate is trading at about 14.366 – about 17.6 times higher than the Jan 1980 rate,whereas silver is trading at $16.2 – almost three times lower than the Jan 1980 high.

Silver Market Morning: April-18-2016

Gold ETFs - We saw more large purchases of 5,647 tonnes, after last week’s big sales of over 8 tonnes, of gold into the SPDR gold ETF but nothing in or out of the Gold Trust on Friday. This leaves their holdings at 812.462 and 188.04 tonnes in the SPDR & Gold Trust respectively. These purchases were well placed to take advantage of what we expect later this week in the gold price.

Wrapping Up July Comex Silver Deliveries

Again, I can't overstate how unusual this is and how different it is from the norm. In a "normal" month where total deliveries came in at 85%, we would have seen about 2,300 total deliveries. Instead, we saw 3,637. Therefore, we're left to conclude that and additional 1,300 contracts were demanded for immediate delivery in July. This means that someone or something funded their account with 100% margin, jumped the "queue" and demanded immediate delivery of 6,500,000 ounces of silver. At prices ranging around $15/ounce, that's nearly $100,000,000.

The Silver Manipulation Con Continues at the Highest Levels of Government

The US Mint is not a very good liar. They are manipulating their sales data to stifle silver investor sentiment. My fight with the US Mint goes back 7 years. I wrote them in June 2008 to point out that stopping production of the US Silver Eagles was AGAINST THE LAW because the law required them to produce SAE's "in quantities sufficient to meet public demand." Since that time, and through my continual pestering over the years, they CHANGED THE LAW to make the US Treasury Secretary the one who decides if the coins are being produced to meet demand and only he has the power to stop or limit production.

Investment Silver Demand Draining COMEX Vaults

If there are words to characterize the precious metals markets for July, it would be “divergences” and “shortages.” There was heavy selling in the leveraged futures market and extraordinary buying demand and shortages in physical coins, rounds, and bars.

Leaving the Information Grid

We've been off the information grid for nearly a month now. Oh, we've still got electricity, the internet, the gas and water and sewer connexions, but a month ago the satellite went away at our command, so no more government and corporate news at 6 p.m. or the Sunday morning food-fights.

Silver and Gold: The Triumph of Experience over Hope

Rather than discuss the triumph of experience over hope regarding hard money, honest politicians, and free market economics, let’s look at the OPPOSITE.

The EPA's Polluted River

The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency's massive spill of arsenic-laden contaminants into Colorado's Animas River (literally, from the Spanish, River of Souls) a week ago has all the makings of a slow-speed softball pitched at this relentless critic of EPA's hubris, bullying and unscientific bullshite.

Desolation Row: the Silver Market

Silver peaked in 1980 and then crashed into “Silver Desolation Row” in 1999 – 2001, like now. The 1970s decade was the time for commodity price increases and inflation. The 1980s and 1990s saw a preference for paper assets and stocks, while commodities, gold, and silver prices collapsed.

Silver Cycle Low - Now

The price of silver has been crushed during the last four years. Prices are ready to reverse. We will know soon enough after the High-Frequency-Traders have their way with prices for paper silver and gold on the CME.

China chooses her weapons

China's recent mini-devaluations had less to do with her mounting economic challenges, and more to do with a statement from the IMF on 4 August, that it was proposing to defer the decision to include the yuan in the SDR until next October.

August 21: Gold Gains Almost 4% on the Week While Stocks Drop Roughly 6%

Gold gained $15.42 to $1167.42 in Asia before it fell all the way back to $1149.00 in London, but it then rose to as high as $1161.67 in New York and ended with a gain of 0.64%. Silver slipped to as low as $15.14 and ended with a loss of 1.29%.

Silver And The Petrodollar

Many have mistakenly dismissed silver as just another commodity like oil, for example. If one looks at how silver has traded since 2001, in comparison with oil, one might agree with that mistaken believe. During the same periods, both goods traded higher or lower, together. For example, from 2001 to 2008, both silver and oil rose significantly. During those seven years, silver increased more than four times in value while oil rose more than seven times.

Gold and Silver: Heading for a “Blue Screen of Death” Event?

For personal computer users who by choice or circumstance, find themselves using a version of the Microsoft Windows operating software family, a dreaded condition known as the “Blue Screen of Death” (BSoD) is a seldom occurring, yet ever-present possibility. Wikipedia defines it as being caused by poorly written device drivers or malfunctioning hardware, such as faulty memory, power supply issues, overheating of components or hardware running beyond its specification limits.

The Risky Investment that Could Make You Millions in the Next Financial Crisis

You wake up in the morning, turn on the news, and get a sick feeling in your stomach… The stock market is crashing again. Another big Wall Street bank has failed. Your 401(k) has lost another 25%. It’s bleeding value every week. Your dream of early retirement is history. You’ve lost so much money in stocks that even a "regular" retirement is in jeopardy. If you live a long life, there’s no way you’ll have enough money.

Yes, Gold is a Barbarous Relic...SO SWAP IT ALL FOR SILVER!

I know that you have a few gold coins in your safe. I know you think it's good for your diversification but NOW is the time to think differently. Now is not the time for diversification. Now is the time to SAVE your wealth and gold doubling or tripling over the next few years is NOT going to save you.

Silver Market Morning

On Friday New York closed at $1,134.40 up $10.30. The dollar was stronger at $1.1335 at the close up from $1.1496, against the euro, with the dollar Index stronger at 96.07 up from Friday’s 95.19. Because of the Bank Holiday in the U.K. no LBMA gold price was set today. Ahead of New York’s opening, gold was trading at $1,132.80 and in the euro at €1,010.80.

The danger of eliminating cash

In the early days of central banking, one primary objective of the new system was to take ownership of the public's gold, so that in a crisis the public would be unable to withdraw it.

Silver and S.M.S.

Silver prices have been crushed for over 4 years, especially in the paper futures markets. The predictable result has been reduced interest in real money – silver and gold. The media is more focused on Donald Trump, Caitlyn Jenner, and Hillary’s emails – not the reality of exponentially increasing debt, out-of-control spending, failed economic policies, and expensive wars.

You think premiums are big now???

Premiums on silver over the past weeks have exploded! Generally speaking, 10-25%+ seems to be the norm and anywhere from two - six weeks delay for delivery. We have talked about the dichotomy between silver being panic "sold" and "shortages" occurring simultaneously. In a free market, this is an impossibility.

Silver Market Morning

On Friday New York closed at $1,122.10 down $3.30. The dollar was weaker at $1.1162 down from $1.1142 at the close, against the euro, with the dollar Index slightly weaker at 96.28 down from 96.34. The LBMA gold price was set at $1,121.00 down $4.00 from Friday. The euro equivalent was €1,004.21 down €5.80. At 12.00 hrs London time, gold was trading at $1,121.00 and in the euro at €1,005.52.

Silver and Deflation

How does silver perform during deflation? Which is better during a deflation – silver or gold? The answers will depend on quite a few things as well as what definition of deflation one uses.

The Massive Debt Bubble Will Push Silver Prices Much Higher

Silver had a spectacular rise in price from about August 2010 to April 2011. In fact, it was so impressive that some thought the peak was the end of the bull market for silver. After all, silver had risen about 12.33 times from its bottom in 2001.

Why Silver Premiums Are so High Right Now and How One Might Take Advantage of It?

In this article, I will explain first how and why silver bullion premiums have aggressively increased since the middle of summer 2015 AND how and what I am doing to take advantage of the current premiums via a bullion form sell and buy arbitrage.

Silver: Victim of Motive, Means, and Opportunity

Silver gets little respect, but that is sensible in a world dominated by paper assets and pretend values. Similar to a murder investigation, let’s examine the motive, means and opportunity used to “manage” silver prices.

Silver Market Morning: Sept-29-2015

What we are seeing now is a set of global markets fearful of a breakdown in prices. As prices fall, not just in commodities, but equity markets, we become very aware of the massive levels of debt that is sitting in the hands of individuals, corporates, governments’ et al. Because of this we see occasional collapses of value as this becomes recognized. Glencore, the mining giant and broker has seen its share prices buckle in Australia today. With debt twice the level of its market capitalization, their situation well expresses the fears sensitizing the markets at all levels. The commodities sector does not look as though it is going to recover for a very long time. This includes U.S. oil companies trying to persuade their regulators that their debt levels are sustainable as oil prices could fall further.

Silver-coin shortage shows bright side of precious metal collapse

The global silver-coin market is in the grips of an unprecedented supply squeeze, forcing some mints to ration sales and step up overtime while sending U.S. buyers racing abroad to fulfill a sudden surge in demand.

Gold's Little Brother Is Talking

Silver seems set to perform well against the dollar, but it also appears to be ready to make gold look like a bit of a slug.Unlike most silver investors, I have no interest in selling silver for “dollars of profit”. I view silver primarily as a currency.Gold is the ultimate currency, and I think silver is best viewed as “gold’s little brother”.I sold silver for gold in the first quarter of 2011, and now it’s time for me to buy silver with gold.

COMEX Silver Inventory Update: -1,063,729.540 ounces

COMEX Silver Inventory Update: -1,063,729.540 ounces

COMEX Silver Inventory Update: -948,613.090 ounces

COMEX Silver Inventory Update: -948,613.090 ounces

Silver Price Projection – for 2013

An objective and reasonable estimate for the price of silver at the next intermediate peak (estimating 2013 – Quarter 2) is $50 to $60 per ounce (current price is about $28). This is not a prediction based on wishful thinking and hope, but a best estimate based on rational analysis of data stretching back to 1975.

COMEX Silver Inventory Update: +1,534,729.460 ounces

COMEX Silver Inventory Update: +1,534,729.460 ounces

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