Sprott Silver Equities Class Co-Manager Maria Smirnova understands the power of leverage. She has seen the big impact even a slight increase in the silver price can have on silver producers. Every cent is multiplied and goes right to the investor's bottom line, giving the equities more upside than possible in a coin. That is why Eric Sprott increased holdings of silver equities in certain Sprott funds, as explained in this interview.
Martin Armstrong stated in his blog Post that the reason for the "flash crash" in silver on Sunday night, May 19, was due to the lack of bids. He goes on further to say "Despite the gold/silver promoters, there is no expansion of buyers for the precious metals. It has been the same choir over and over again."
This has been one of the worst stretches for gold and silver pricewise in quite some time, no secret there. I have to go back to when silver was in single digits to find a comparable period. The question on precious metals investors’ minds is whether this bad stretch is going to continue much longer. Are the past few months setting the stage for a pronounced rebound in prices or has the tide changed for the worse for an extended period of time? I think the answer can be found in analyzing the following facts.
Silver is one of many sought after investment choices when risk aversion is high. What makes it a convenient choice happens to be that the metallic commodity has special qualities that have historically made it one of the best forms of money.
Silver’s post plunge relief rally was considerably weaker and more stunted than gold’s, and with it now back near to its April plunge lows after the drop last week, the chances are considered high that it will break to new lows soon. That said, its latest COTs and sentiment indicators are now strongly bullish, so that although it may well break to lower lows soon, it is thought unlikely that there will be much downside follow through before it hits bottom. We can see all this on its 9-month chart below, and how it is clinging on by its fingernails to the support at the April lows. Before leaving this chart, notice the large gap between the price and the 200-day moving average, which just by itself is a positive factor.
COT Silver Report - May 17, 2013
Basically that the trading structure in the silver futures market gives rise to price discovery, and that this mechanism has long been divorced from the real fundamentals for physical silver. Instead, it is almost entirely driven by the vested interests of the for-profit exchanges and their largest clients.
With a market cap of less than $10 million, Golden Arrow Resources Corp. (TSX.V: GRG) just released a first-ever NI43-101-compliant resource estimate on its +100 million silver ounces Chinchillas Silver-Zinc-Lead Deposit which is just 30 km away from the productive Pirquitas Silver Mine (reserves: 84 million silver ounces; output: 9 million silver ounces per year) run by Silver Standard Resources (TSX: SSO; market cap: $560 million). The near-by El Aguilar Zinc-Lead Mine and the Palpala Smelter are both owned by mining giant Glencore Xstrata. In December 2012, Coeur d’Alene Mines (TSX: CDE; market cap: $1.5 billion) paid $1.78 per ounce for Mirasol Resources’ 30 million ounces silver deposit which is also located in Argentina.
The Dow making new highs is likely to be very good news for silver investors, because nominal silver peaks tend to come after significant nominal peaks in the Dow. These stock market rallies are driven by the expansion of the money supply, causing a big increase in value of paper assets (including stocks) relative to real assets.
The SILVER MARKET often gets a bum rap. The reason is that often its gyrations are much greater than those of the gold market.