• Gold: 1,197.05 -3.07
  • Silver: 16.58 -0.10
  • Euro: 1.249 0.001
  • USDX: 88.279 0.638
  • Oil: 73.37 -0.45

Silver: What COT Analysis Tells Us

22 hours 22 min ago

Each week the CFTC publishes a Commitments of Traders Report (COT) in which “non-commercial” and “commercial” long and short futures positions are reported. Many people have expressed doubts as to the validity, accuracy and consistency of the data. However, my experience is that the data is mostly relevant, accurate, and useful in the long term, but not necessarily important each week.

November 18: Gold and Silver Gain With Stocks

Gold climbed $18.13 to $1204.53 by a little after 5AM EST before it chopped back lower at times, but it still ended with a gain of 0.88%. Silver surged to as high as $16.417 and ended with a gain of 0.37%.

Gold, Silver, Crude and S&P Ending Wedge Patterns

Gold and silver look like they have bottomed – again. Perhaps this time it will be a real bottom instead of another fake-out like December 2013 and June 2014. Demand is strong for physical gold and silver, but the supply of naked paper shorts on the COMEX is even larger. This will change. I see prices under $20 as a strong buy zone since I believe that $100 silver is only a few years away.

SilverCrest Options Cumobabi Property

SilverCrest Mines Inc. (SVL.TO)(NYSE MKT:SVLC) ("SilverCrest" or the "Company") is pleased to announce it has signed a five year option agreement (the "Agreement") with Evrim Resources Corp. (TSX VENTURE:EVM) ("Evrim") whereby SilverCrest can acquire a 100% interest in Evrim's Cumobabi Property in the State of Sonora, Mexico. The Cumobabi Property is in the general vicinity of the Santa Elena mine and adjacent to the Ermitaño Property which was previously optioned by the Company (see news release dated January 14, 2014).

November 17: Gold and Silver End Slightly Lower

Gold dropped $8.61 to $1182.09 at the open of trade last night before it quickly rebounded to $1194.08 and then dropped back to $1181.81 in late morning New York trade, but it then bounced back higher in afternoon trade and ended with a loss of just 0.36%. Silver slipped to as low as $16.049 and ended with a loss of 0.86%.

November 14: Gold and Silver Gain Over 1% and 3% on the Week

Gold dropped $13.52 to $1148.28 by a little after 8:30AM EST, but it then jumped to as high as $1193.50 by early afternoon in New York and ended with a gain of 2.49%. Silver surged to as high as $16.384 and ended with a gain of 4.42%.

An Open Letter to Mining Company Executives

Please accept my sincere condolences on the continuing suppression of metal prices. As a stock holder in your company, I share your concern that an unrelenting environment of depressed metal prices will inevitably cause damage to your mining company. I will not insult your intelligence by dwelling on the long term solution that you are so very well aware of (i.e., reduce mining output at low prices, both as a way to pressure prices higher, and as a way to conserve your precious in ground resource for times when prices are more favorable). Instead, I hope to suggest short term tactics that could help to restore higher prices.

Silver Market Morning

The gold price closed up at $1,161.80 up from $1,160.10 in New York on Thursday. London took it down to $1,153 ahead of the Fix. It was Fixed at $1,154 down $7.00 and in the euro at €926.312 down €4.5, while the euro stood stronger at $1.2458. The volumes of net gold traded were two sellers selling 22,000 ounces and two buyers buying 36,000 ounces before the pro-rata process kicked in. Ahead of New York’s opening, gold was trading at $1,153.70 and in the euro at €926.18.

November 13: Gold and Silver End Mixed

Gold dropped $6.08 to $1154.02 in Asia before it climbed up to $1167.50 at about noon EST and then fell back off in the next couple of hours of trade, but it then bounced back higher into the close and ended with a gain of 0.15%. Silver slipped to as low as $15.572 and ended with a loss of 0.38%.

“Paper Gold” and Its Effect on the Gold Price

Gold dropped to new lows of $1,130 per ounce last week. This is surprising because it doesn’t square with the fundamentals. China and India continue to exert strong demand on gold, and interest in bullion coins remains high. I explained in my October article in The Casey Report that the Comex futures market structure allows a few big banks to supply gold to keep its price contained. I call the gold futures market the “paper gold” market because very little gold actually changes hands. $360 billion of paper gold is traded per month, but only $279 million of physical gold is delivered.

Silver Market Morning

The gold price closed down at $1,160.10 down $5.70 in New York on Wednesday. London took it down to $1,156 ahead of the Fix. It was Fixed at $1,161.00 down $2.25 and in the euro at €930.811 down €3.601, while the euro stood stronger at $1.2473. The volumes of net gold traded were two sellers selling 56,000 ounces and two buyers buying 40,000 ounces before the pro-rata process kicked in. Ahead of New York’s opening, gold was trading at $1,163.20 and in the euro at €932.76.

PRIMARY SILVER MINERS: Losing Nearly $3.00 For Every Ounce Of Production

With more than half of the primary silver miners financial results for the third quarter finally out, the group is now losing nearly $3.00 an ounce at the current market price of silver. We can thank the Fed and Bullion Banks for rigging the paper silver price well below the estimated average break-even for the primary silver miners.

SilverCrest Reports Q3 2014 Financial Results

SilverCrest Mines Inc. (SVL.TO)(NYSE MKT:SVLC) (the "Company" or "SilverCrest") is pleased to announce its financial results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2014. All financial information is prepared in accordance with International Financial Reporting Standards ("IFRS") and all dollar amounts are expressed in U.S. dollars unless otherwise specified.

November 12: Gold and Silver End Slightly Lower

Gold bounced between $1161.42 and $1169.72 in London before it dropped down to $1157.45 in early afternoon New York trade and then edged back higher in late trade, but it still ended with a loss of 0.49%. Silver slipped to as low as $15.569 and ended with a loss of 0.45%.

Gold loses luster as retail investors look to silver

As the price of silver bounces around four-year lows, retail investors are diving in. Money is pouring into silver exchange traded funds and silver coins, according to a report in The Wall Street Journal.

Did Silver’s Bear Market End in June?

And so here we are – approaching mid-month with a freshly printed lower-low of $15.04 in place – with the possibility of a rally higher. Yet it's still early to confirm whether “the bottom” is in for silver and “the beginning” of silver’s next leg higher is already in process, as this can only be confirmed in the rear view mirror.

First Majestic Reports Third Quarter Financial Results

The Company generated revenues of $40.8 million for the third quarter of 2014, a 39% decrease compared to the previous quarter primarily due to a temporary suspension of silver sales of approximately 934,000 silver ounces to maximize profit in response to a 19% decline in the price of silver during the quarter, and a 9% decrease in total production.

Silver Market Morning

The gold price closed down at $1,165.80 up by $16.20 in New York on Tuesday. It then moved up slightly to $1,169 before London’s opening. It was Fixed at $1,163.25 up $12.00 and in the euro at €934.412 up €6.508, while the euro stood stronger at $1.2450. The volumes of net gold traded were two sellers selling 22,000 ounces and two buyers buying 42,000 ounces before the pro-rata process kicked in. Ahead of New York’s opening, gold was trading at $1,163.60 and in the euro at €934.21.

November 11: Gold and Silver Gain Over 1%

Gold waffled near unchanged in Asia and saw slight gains in London before it showed some weakness in midmorning New York trade, but it then shot back higher midday and ended near its late session high of $1172.97 with a gain of 1.43%. Silver surged to as high as $15.887 and ended with a gain of 1.16%.

Silver to S&P Ratio: What It Tells Us

Based on Friday’s upticks, last week may have been the turning point for silver prices and the silver to S&P ratio. Or perhaps the S&P will continue reaching for the sky even though QE is supposedly diminishing, while silver prices drop further below the cost of production. Both seem unlikely but we shall see.

Silver Market Morning

The gold price closed down at $1,149.40 by $24 in New York on Monday. It then moved up slightly to $1,152.30 before London’s opening. It was then Fixed at $1,151.25 down $20.75 and in the euro at €927.904 down €10.296, while the euro stood weaker at $1.2407. The volumes of net gold traded were two sellers selling 60,000 ounces and two buyers buying 46,000 ounces before the pro-rata process kicked in. Ahead of New York’s opening, gold was trading at $1,151.40 and in the euro at €927.91.

Fortuna Reports Consolidated Financial Results for the Third Quarter 2014

Fortuna Silver Mines Inc. (FSM)(FVI.TO)(FVI)(F4S.F) today reported record revenue of $46.4 million, cash generated from operations, before changes in working capital of $17.8 million and net income of $7.8 million or $0.06 per share in the third quarter of 2014.

November 10: Gold and Silver Fall Over 2% and 1%

Gold fell steadily throughout most of world trade and ended near its late session low of $1147.31 with a loss of 2.2%. Silver slipped to as low as $15.496 and ended with a loss of 1.14%.

Prices of Gold/Silver Companies to Double from Here?

Silver is down 70% from its high of $48.70 an ounce back in April of 2011. And the calls from the mainstream are for silver prices to fall farther, as the Federal Reserve has stopped printing paper money and inflation is nowhere in sight. I beg to differ.

$15 Silver? You can't have any!

Here we go again, silver has been trashed to $15! But don't fear as this "trashing" in my opinion is going to be like Custer's last stand, let me explain. Just as in past episodes, the artificially suppressed prices have brought out 1,000's of "Indians" all over the world as buyers of physical metal. I use this analogy of "Indians" because prior to this last 5 years, it was in fact consumers from India (whom are so very price sensitive) who would step up in the physical market to eat up supply if the price dropped.

Silver Market Morning

The gold price closed up $30.40 in New York on Friday. It then moved down slightly to $1,172 before London’s opening. It was then Fixed at $1,172 up $27.00 and in the euro at €938.200 up €14.813, while the euro stood stronger at $1.2492. The volumes of net gold traded were three sellers selling 50,000 ounces and one buyer buying 40,000 ounces before the pro-rata process kicked in. Ahead of New York’s opening, gold was trading at $1,171.40 and in the euro at €937.91.

A Buying Opportunity for Silver ETFs?

Silver prices have been pushed below $30 an ounce in the recent sell-off as investors raise cash in the wake of the collapse of commodities broker...

Great Panther Silver Reports Improved Fourth Quarter Production

VANCOUVER, BRITISH COLUMBIA--(Marketwire -01/17/12)- GREAT PANTHER SILVER LIMITED (TSX: GPR.TO)(AMEX: GPL) (the "...

Pan American Silver Comments on Changes to Mining Legislation in Rio Negro, Argentina

"Pan American Silver Corp. (TSX: PAA.TO)(NASDAQ: PAAS) ("Pan American" or the "Company") owns 100% of the Calcatreu gold development project ("...

When Will Silver Reach a New High?

Casey ResearchIn...

Warren Buffett Trashes Gold, But What About Silver?

“Gold gets dug out of the ground, then we melt it down, dig another hole, bury it again and pay people to stand around guarding it. It has no...

Ron Paul Assaults Ben Bernanke On Parallel Currencies [Video]

Congressman Paul gives an opening...

Silver and Gold Dividends to be Paid by Gold Resource Corp. (NYSE-AMEX: GORO)

COLORADO SPRINGS, CO--(03/12/12)- Gold Resource Corporation (the Company...

Fractal Analysis: 2012 Silver to $70++

Around this...

Great Panther Silver Reports First Quarter 2012 Production

VANCOUVER, BRITISH COLUMBIA--(Marketwire -04/16/12)- GREAT PANTHER SILVER LIMITED (TSX: GPR....

The Silver Reverse Bubble of 2012

In late 2008, when silver was massacred in the futures pit and saw its price fall from over $20 to under $10, I told my readers at that time that silver entered into a “reverse bubble”. I know it sounds odd, but let me re-visit the concept.

The Silver Megathrust

Between 1970 and 1979, the silver price was increasing steadily from $1.50 to $6, before taking off in September 1979 from $10 to $50 within 5 months. During that bull cycle, demand for silver did not increase but actually declined (sharply in 1979). It was as late as 1983 when demand increased confidently from 12,000 to 27,000 tons per year until 2000 – yet the silver price was in a 20 year bear market during that time. In 2003, when silver started its new bull market, the demand actually dropped to 23,000 tons until 2005 – during which 2 years silver almost doubled from $4.50 to $8. Since 2005, demand is rising stronger than ever, having reached 33,000 tons in 2010, whereas the silver price is rising strongly as well.

Follow SilverSeek.com on Twitter: SilverSeekcom | SilverSeekWire

Follow SilverSeek.com on Twitter: @SilverSeekcom | SilverSeek.com Wire: @SilverSeekWire

Poll: Where will the Silver Price end 2012?

Please vote in our SilverSeek.com Poll! Where will Silver price end 2012? Below $25 $25-30 $30-$35 $35-$40 Above $40

Silver Wheaton Reports a Strong Start to 2012 with Record Quarterly Revenues of US$200 Million

"Solid operating performance from across our portfolio of mines led to a strong start in 2012," said Randy Smallwood, President and Chief Executive Officer of Silver Wheaton. "We achieved record quarterly revenues, and are on target to attaining our annual production guidance of 27 million silver equivalent ounces. With continued positive progress at our world-class cornerstone assets, including the Peñasquito and Pascua-Lama mines, Silver Wheaton retains one of the strongest growth profiles in the sector."

Great Panther Silver Reports First Quarter 2012 Financial Results

"First quarter revenue was directly in line with our expectations, considering the lower production and metal prices compared to Q1 of last year," stated Robert Archer, President and CEO. "This was also a timing issue for us related to a shipment of concentrate to a new smelter where the revenue will be recognized in Q2 this year. With the addition of this new customer, we have secured contracts for the sale of our concentrates for our 2012 planned production."

Live Silver Price Chart

Live 1-Hour Spot Silver Price Chart: http://www.silverseek.com/quotes/hoursilver.php

COMEX Silver Inventory Update: -601,427.04 ounces

COMEX Silver Inventory Update: -601,427.04 ounces

Poll Results: Where will Silver End 2012?

Total votes: 1199 | #1 result = Above $40 (583 votes)

Huldra Silver Announces Receipt of Mines Act Permits and Amendment to Terms of Credit Facility

Huldra Silver Inc. (HDA.V) (the "Company" or "Huldra") is pleased to announce that the Company has received a Mining Lease and a British Columbia Mines Act Permit approving a mine plan and reclamation program for the Company's Treasure Mountain Mine along with an Amended Permit approving construction and operation of a process plant at the Company's mill site in Merritt, BC.

The Coming Paradigm Shift in Silver

...

Bearish pattern of the day - Silver

Silver has formed a "Descending Triangle" on the daily chart. A descending triangle shows decreasing demand and an increase in supply with each...

Silver Market Update

Is silver becoming a bearmarket, or is a bottom pattern completing that will lead to a major new uptrend soon? That is the big conundrum facing investors and speculators in the sector and in this update it will become apparent that the situation must resolve itself with a decisive move soon, one way or the other.

Will Silver and Platinum Outperform Gold in the Near Future?

Summing up, the long-term picture in the USD market continues to appear a bit more bearish than not and the implications for the precious metals are generally positive. The silver-to-gold ratio chart suggests that silver is likely to outperform gold in the months to come, yet it should be kept in mind that this may require some time to happen. Additional short-term volatility has been seen in the platinum market, but this is not unusual.

New EW Silver Discovery

...

Great Panther Silver Reports First Quarter 2012 Production

VANCOUVER, BRITISH COLUMBIA--(Marketwire -04/16/12)- GREAT PANTHER SILVER LIMITED (TSX: GPR....

On the Money - A Dime a Gallon [Video]

An economic commentary on Ron Paul...

First Majestic Announces Friendly Acquisition of Silvermex Resources

VANCOUVER, BRITISH COLUMBIA--(04/03/12)- First Majestic Silver Corp. ("...

Extorre Reacts to Current Market Conditions and Announces Further High Grade Drilling Results at Cerro Moro

"One drill rig remains on the infill drilling program on our principal prospects, namely Zoe, Escondida, Loma Escondida and Gabriela. Our aim is to ensure that the drilling density is sufficient in areas that would fall within the first two years of a potential mining scenario (at 1300 tonnes per day) to estimate "indicated mineral resources". This program is nearing completion, with the drilling at Zoe, Loma Escondida and Gabriela essentially complete."

Target 2 reached in Silver (Copper target reached)

The second target for the bearish "Head and Shoulders" pattern on silver was reached for greater than $25,000 per contract. The target was using "Measured Rule", which takes the distance from the top of the head to the neckline, and adding it onto the breakdown point.

Silver Market Morning

Gold closed in New York at $1,622.80, the day before the holiday in the States yesterday. A quiet London pulled it back to $1,613.50 at the p.m. Fixing. The morning Fix today the 5th July was set at $1,616.75 and higher in the euro at €1,292.986, up €8 on yesterday’s p.m. Fixing, while the euro stood at €1: $1.2504 down 80 cents. The euro stood at €1: $1.2502 after the Fix. Ahead of New York’s opening gold stood at $1,618.00 in the middle.

Under ATTACK

Do we want the TRUTH or LIES? Gold was ATTACKED by the Cartel today to prevent it from repeating last month’s violation of its “Rule #1” – i.e., “Thou shalt not let PMs soar when the Dow plunges.” Last month, they temporarily lost control when gold had a rare 4% surge with the Dow down 274 points, directly after a similarly horrible NFP report.

A Momentous Day

A momentous day, as the Spanish and Italian stock and bond markets are literally CRASHING. On the day the “Spanish Bank Bailout” was “approved” by the EU – Spanish 10-year yields have EXPLODED to 7.3%, and the IBEX stock index fell a whopping 5.7%. Of course, the “bailout” requires constitution of the ESM, which has not yet been ratified or funded, and won’t be for some time – if at all. Throw in the bankruptcy of Valencia – one of Spain’s largest “autonomous regions” – and you can see why few believe a bailout will ever be received, or that it will MATTER even if it does.

Silver: poor man's gold turning to fool's gold?

Silver bulls may be hoping that the metal's healthy first-quarter price rise is the first step back towards record highs. Not so fast.Its...

March Silver in Backwardation

March silver has been...

Silver Market Update - January 16th, 2012

The diminution in silver's downside momentum and the massive contradiction between our earlier bearish interpretation of the charts, and the...

Silver Market Morning

New York bounced back to $1,573.70 and Asia continued to take it higher, with London running it up to Fix at $1,590.25. The euro was stronger at €1: $12770, where it was when the morning Fixing took place. In the euro it Fixed at €1,245.204. Ahead of New York’s opening gold looked a little better at $1,592.15 and in the euro, €1,246.69 while the euro was at €1: $1.2771.

Managed money positions hint at bullish turns for gold and silver

I have recently written about the breakdown of disaggregated data from the futures markets into producers and swap dealers for gold and silver futures, as reported in the Commitment of Traders reports issued by the US government’s Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). There is a further category of trader to consider, and that is Managed Money.

The Silver Megathrust

Between 1970 and 1979, the silver price was increasing steadily from $1.50 to $6, before taking off in September 1979 from $10 to $50 within 5 months. During that bull cycle, demand for silver did not increase but actually declined (sharply in 1979). It was as late as 1983 when demand increased confidently from 12,000 to 27,000 tons per year until 2000 – yet the silver price was in a 20 year bear market during that time. In 2003, when silver started its new bull market, the demand actually dropped to 23,000 tons until 2005 – during which 2 years silver almost doubled from $4.50 to $8. Since 2005, demand is rising stronger than ever, having reached 33,000 tons in 2010, whereas the silver price is rising strongly as well.

What a surprise: FT says CFTC to drop silver investigation

But such an outcome would be completely consistent with a finding that the really big player in the silver market is not JPMorgan at all but the U.S. government acting through intermediary brokerage houses. After all, as he signed the legislation demonetizing silver in 1965, President Lyndon B. Johnson pledged that the U.S. government would rig the silver market if necessary to prevent the price from rising...

Silver Market Update

The outcome of the Greek vote at the weekend was not favorable for the markets, or for Precious Metals in particular. This is because it did not precipitate an immediate worsening of the acute crisis in Europe, and thus did not create the pressure needed to bring forward the major QE that must eventually come in order to delay Europe's eventual complete collapse. Why then have markets not caved in already? - because investors are "smoking the hopium pipe" and waiting for the Fed to pull a rabbit out of the hat at Wednesday's FOMC meeting, by making positive noises to the effect that QE3 is ready to be rolled out. What is likely to happen instead is that they will come out with the same old line about "being ready to act when the SHTF" but other than that remain vague and non-commital. If this is what they do then markets are likely to throw a tantrum and sell off, and the charts are indicating that it could be hard.

Silver, Gold and The Coming Deflation

Historically gold has made its significant gains, relative to other assets (as well as nominally), not during inflation, but during deflation (Note: I am using the terms inflation and deflation very loosely in this case). These significant gold rallies historically occur when value flees instruments such as stocks and certain commodities.

David Morgan: Seems the bottom for (gold & silver) mining equities is in...

I was recently interview by Jim Puplava and stated what we have been sending to our members. It seems the bottom for mining equities is in and may be tested one more time. The precious metals themselves also could be in a bottom formation currently, but the $26 level on silver and the $1550 level on gold MUST hold. David Morgan www.Silver-Investor.com

The Noose Is Tightening

The noose is tightening on the Powers that Be, as all attempts at MONEY PRINTING, MARKET MANIPULATION, and PROPAGANDA are failing. The GLOBAL economy – and BANKING SYSTEM – is failing, as have been the result of ALL fiat currency systems throughout history. And given that this is the ONLY time EVER when ALL global currencies are fiat –amidst a global population of seven billion people - the crash will dwarf all others in history.

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