• Gold: 1,293.54 0.79
  • Silver: 17.81 0.03
  • Euro: 1.145 -0.000
  • USDX: 93.05 -0.711
  • Oil: 46.03 0.06

April 29: Gold and Silver Gain About 5% on the Week

37 min 11 sec ago

Gold gained $28.66 to $1296.56 by late morning in New York before it edged back lower at times, but it still ended with a gain of 1.97%. Silver rose to as high as $17.951 and ended with a gain of 1.31%.

Silver Market Morning: April-28-2016 -- The falling dollar boosts dollar silver price!

The Shanghai Gold Fixings are now showing just how currency moves are affecting the gold price. Overnight the dollar has weakened in a host of currencies including the Yuan. Please note that this rise in the gold price is not Yuan strength but dollar weakening. As a result, while there were only slight moves inside China in the Yuan gold Price, in dollar terms the moves were compounded by the weak dollar.

Silver Sell Signal Begins Its Long Term Rise

It may seem odd talking about sell signals at the beginning of a new bull market for silver, but let us get into perspective what bull markets are all about. Silver has seen strong buying in the retail sector as investors snap up silver eagles and similar bullion coins. Likewise, the silver ETFs as a group are near record levels.

Grave Silver Mistake

This is a measure of silver stocks moving from one place to another. This statistic might be important to businesses in the trade, such as refiners and depositories. It is not useful in predicting the price. Ironically, the big gain in ETF inventories may be metal coming from Asia. Metal flows from where it is cheaper to where it is priced more richly. If speculators relentlessly push up the ask price on the ETFs, then they will draw in metal from where it is cheaper. To underscore our point about abundance, isn’t this a sign of it? The marginal use of metal is to go into paper vehicles designed to let asset managers speculate on the price of silver using an equity.

Silver Bullion “Momentum Building” As “Supply Trouble Brewing”

“There are signs that this year could be a pivotal year for the silver market,” New York-based CPM Group said in its “Silver Yearbook 2016.” “Silver mine supply is forecast to decline for the first time in 2016, since 2011,” CPM said, noting scheduled closures and planned production cutbacks.

Silver Market Morning: April-27-2016 -- Will the Fed booost Silver prices?

At the start of the week the Shanghai Gold Fixings were higher than those in London, but today we see them very much in line with New York, transitioning into London’s opening. So we can say that at the start of the process it appears that there is a ’24-hour market’ for gold. Time will tell if this continues and how the pricing power changes.

Silver Price Forecast: Silver Rally Will Bring Bond Market Collapse

On the charts, I have shown how interest rates and silver prices have moved together during the first phase of the 70s silver bull market (1971 to 1974), as well as the second phase (1976 to 1980). I have also marked the big divergence that occurred from 2001 to 2011 (the first phase of the silver bull market). This is the biggest period of divergence over the last 100 years. Since silver and interest rate are positively correlated in the long run, it is almost guaranteed that they will move together (up) during the next phase of the silver bull market. A spike in interest rates (meaning – a collapse of bonds) will provide an explosive boost to the coming silver rally.

Silver Market Morning: April-26-2016 -- Silver price waiting for the Fed!

Today, the FOMC meets with little prospect if any, of a rate rise. The focus is on the statement that comes out of the meeting tomorrow. What we all are fully aware of is that the Fed does not want to see a stronger dollar. Indeed it would prefer to see a weaker dollar. Currently the policies of the E.U. and Japan, no matter what they say are designed to weaken their respective currencies.

Silver Market Morning: April-25-2016 -- Silver holding higher levels

The gold price is being pulled back not only by a weaker euro but by the upcoming FOMC meeting and that of the Bank of Japan. We do not expect any rate change from the FOMC but continued talk of how vulnerable the U.S. economy is to the global economy and a strong dollar. We expect that for the remainder of the year the Fed will be keenly watching U.S. data and will react to any strengthening of the Dollar negatively.

Silver’s on Fire

To be conservative—though this risks missing a quick collapse—one should wait to see the momentum peter out. As we often say at times of bearishness, we NEVER RECOMMEND NAKED SHORTING a monetary metal. The way to play this move would be to go long gold and short silver. If the gold silver ratio is 70, short 70 ounces of silver for every ounce of gold you buy. 70 would be an attractive entry point (assuming momentum dies by then). If the ratio rises to 83, then you have a gain of over 18.5%. For example, if you buy 100oz gold and short 7,000 oz silver, you will pick up over 15.6 ounces of gold.

Silver Commitments of Traders – Halloween is Arriving Early This Year

By that I mean, it just keeps getting scarier and scarier. My guess is that every speculator on the planet is long silver/short gold or outright long silver. That of course is an exaggeration but I am not exaggerating when I categorically state that the silver market is a train wreck just waiting to happen. As I have said before, and will say so again – I would rather miss any more upside in this market than get long now, not with a trade so lopsidedly jammed with speculators on the long side. I will leave that for the daredevils and others who like driving the stagecoach as close to the edge of the mountain pass road as they possibly can.

Silver Market Morning: April-22-2016 -- Dollar rising, Silver soaring!

Mario Draghi and the E.C.B. did not raise rates, which was expected, but he did open the door to negative interest rates in the future. This sent the euro weaker, but as in the past we do not expect this to last. The determination of the U.S. market forces is for a lower dollar and we have no doubt that is what we are headed for. After all it’s one thing to talk and another to act. Germany’s wish to see the end of such stimulus was dismissed by Draghi, otherwise the euro would have been stronger today. In Japan the talk of deeper negative interest rates also weakened the Yen, to 111 against the dollar.

Blow Off in Progress but ‘Launch Phase’ Confirmed

For months now we have speculated in NFTRH that a new inflation phase is in the offing (after the first mover, gold, rises amid global economic contraction) and the thrust off the bottom in the precious metals complex and now the rest of the commodity pack, indicates it is here. However, a mini blow off within the launch phase in silver is happening right now and this will eventually bring a reaction (momentum will blow out when it blows out, which is how blow offs work), which is not likely to be a gentle sideways consolidation. What is happening now is like a microcosm of spring 2011, only a coming correction would very likely not be terminal. Its job will be to confirm a new ‘inflation bull’ market. Watch the precious metals as always, for the early clues.

Fun with Comex Silver Open Interest

Gold prices remain firm today...with the exception of the $5 drop at the London PM Fix...and they remain at a critical juncture. Price needs to...

Silver Market Morning: April-19-2016 -- Gold rising, silver soaring!

Silver – The silver price is amazing all as it continues to soar. Since yesterday it has risen 3.71%. It does appear to have a very long way to go up still, running ahead of the gold price. While the two metals are usually treated as monetary metals [alternatives to currencies] silver’s historic price performance is far more vigorous than gold and far more volatile. It is a narrower market than gold, which has many facets in its monetary role. Nevertheless, right now retail investors as well as institutional investors note its historic performance [peak $50 an ounce] and Technical background which points to a sterling performance.

Here’s what’s behind silver’s sterling rally (CNBC video)

Silver has enjoyed an incredible surge recently, but some analysts doubt the sustainability of the metal's rally.

Silver Trades at 11-month Highs

"High-flying silver futures continued to trade at 11-month highs in Wednesday action due to industrial demand, while gold slipped after earlier tapping the closely watched $1,250 per ounce level. Global economic recovery hopes are helping silver to gain ground on gold, a largely financial market-driven instrument used as a hedge and for other purposes. The gold/silver ratio has dropped to below 74, its lowest level since early November. Silver futures are up about 23% this year, outperforming gold’s 18% rise. In early Wednesday trading, silver for May SIK6, +0.72% delivery advanced 4 cents, or 0.3%, to $17.02 an ounce on Comex. Silver earlier tickled $17.26 and is trading at its highest since late May, according to FactSet."

Silver Bullion “Has So Much More to Give” – 5 Charts Show

“Silver has the best-looking chart among all the commodities,” said Andy Pfaff, who as chief investment officer for commodities at MitonOptimal Group in Cape Town increased his allocation to the metal over the past two weeks. “When silver moves, it really, really moves, and everyone wants to be on the right side of that trade.” The metal is up more than 11 percent in the last two weeks after underperforming gold in the first quarter on concerns slow Chinese growth would curb demand in the biggest consumer of commodities. While both are precious metals, silver has more uses in manufacturing. Silver traded at $16.909 an ounce on Wednesday."

Silver Warming Up Nicely

 Since silver hit a low of $13.63 on the 14th December last year, it has been generally up for silver with some predictably wild turns on the...

Silver Prices May Be Ready to Shine - After a tremendous five-year fall, the price of silver is slowly creeping higher

"Is it time to add a little silver to the mix in your portfolio? Investors doing so will need to be cautious and patient at the same time. The market has certainly bounced considerably recently following a brutal years-long bear market where the value of the metal fell dramatically. The slide in prices started in early 2011, when the price fell from $48.70 a troy ounce to $13.71 by late last year, according to data from the London Bullion Market Association. Prices have subsequently rebounded to more than $16 an ounce as investors piled in. "We are seeing very strong investment demand and that makes me think silver prices can move higher," says Jeff Christian, managing partner at consulting firm CPM Group in New York, and a multi-decade veteran of the commodity markets."

Silver futures post highest close in nearly a year

Silver futures rallied Tuesday, posting their highest finish in almost a year, while gold futures rose to a one week high, with the U.S. dollar-denominated metals getting a boost from weaker greenback. Silver for May SIK6, +4.41% delivery advanced 71.9 cents, or 4.4%, to settle $16.972 an ounce on Comex. That’s the highest close since late May, according to FactSet.

Silver Market Morning: April-19-2016 -- Yuan Gold Fix arrives!

Yuan Gold Fix The Shanghai Gold Exchange set the price at 256.92 Yuan a gram ($1,234.05 an ounce) at the 10:30 a.m. session after members of the exchange submitted buy and sell orders for metal of 99.99% purity. You will find a $2 or $3 variation dependent on what exchange rate you use and if you use the bid or ask sides of the exchange rate. To get the price in dollars, one will have to take the SGE gold price and divide it by 32.1507465 x 1,000 to get a price per ounce in Yuan. Then divide this price by the $: Yuan exchange rate at the time of the Fix. E.g. 256.92 / 32.1507465 x 1,000 /6.4746 = $1,234.22. We discuss these in our newsletters – subscribe now! Members include Chinese banks, jewelers, miners and the local units of Standard Chartered Plc and Australia & New Zealand Banking Group Ltd. It is convincing that the first Shanghai Gold Fix was in line with the London prices. We do expect divergences in time, but for now both are on the same page. We have no doubt that when these divergences appear, they will be because China decides they will.

Silver Price Forecast 2016: A Powerful Signal for the Coming Silver Rally

The silver price and the US Dollar/South African Rand exchange rate (USD/ZAR) have a very interesting relationship that goes back a long way. Due to the nature of this relationship, I have found the USD/ZAR chart to be a good tool for determining a silver bottom. In Jan 1980, when silver peaked at about $50, the USD/ZAR was trading at around 0.817. Today, the USD/ZAR rate is trading at about 14.366 – about 17.6 times higher than the Jan 1980 rate,whereas silver is trading at $16.2 – almost three times lower than the Jan 1980 high.

Silver Market Morning: April-18-2016

Gold ETFs - We saw more large purchases of 5,647 tonnes, after last week’s big sales of over 8 tonnes, of gold into the SPDR gold ETF but nothing in or out of the Gold Trust on Friday. This leaves their holdings at 812.462 and 188.04 tonnes in the SPDR & Gold Trust respectively. These purchases were well placed to take advantage of what we expect later this week in the gold price.

The Gold-Silver Opposites Report: 17 Apr, 2016

Well that was interesting. Gold went down over thirty bucks and silver went up over thirty cents. How much longer can this silver rally continue in the face of gold’s nonparticipation? Will speculators really be comfortable bidding silver up to $20 while gold sits at $1200? Do the fundamentals support a higher silver price?

Bill Murphy: Silver – All about the Physical Market; Takin’ These Bums Out!

When you dedicate yourself to a project for 17 years, as Bill Murphy, GATA and LeMetropole Cafe, has, it must to be a joyous occasion to see the beginning steps of justice being served. On April 14 Deutche Bank (DB) admitted, in a court of law, their precious metals desk had been rigging the silver market and as the information began to surface it was also discovered that DB had been rigging the gold market as well. This is only the beginning.

A Buying Opportunity for Silver ETFs?

Silver prices have been pushed below $30 an ounce in the recent sell-off as investors raise cash in the wake of the collapse of commodities broker...

Silver Market Update - January 16th, 2012

The diminution in silver's downside momentum and the massive contradiction between our earlier bearish interpretation of the charts, and the...

Great Panther Silver Reports Improved Fourth Quarter Production

VANCOUVER, BRITISH COLUMBIA--(Marketwire -01/17/12)- GREAT PANTHER SILVER LIMITED (TSX: GPR.TO)(AMEX: GPL) (the "...

Pan American Silver Comments on Changes to Mining Legislation in Rio Negro, Argentina

"Pan American Silver Corp. (TSX: PAA.TO)(NASDAQ: PAAS) ("Pan American" or the "Company") owns 100% of the Calcatreu gold development project ("...

When Will Silver Reach a New High?

Casey ResearchIn...

New EW Silver Discovery

...

Warren Buffett Trashes Gold, But What About Silver?

“Gold gets dug out of the ground, then we melt it down, dig another hole, bury it again and pay people to stand around guarding it. It has no...

The Arbitrageur: Silver backwardation

Ever since early fall 2010, long-...

Ron Paul Assaults Ben Bernanke On Parallel Currencies [Video]

Congressman Paul gives an opening...

Silver and Gold Dividends to be Paid by Gold Resource Corp. (NYSE-AMEX: GORO)

COLORADO SPRINGS, CO--(03/12/12)- Gold Resource Corporation (the Company...

Fractal Analysis: 2012 Silver to $70++

Around this...

First Majestic Announces Friendly Acquisition of Silvermex Resources

VANCOUVER, BRITISH COLUMBIA--(04/03/12)- First Majestic Silver Corp. ("...

Silver: poor man's gold turning to fool's gold?

Silver bulls may be hoping that the metal's healthy first-quarter price rise is the first step back towards record highs. Not so fast.Its...

Great Panther Silver Reports First Quarter 2012 Production

VANCOUVER, BRITISH COLUMBIA--(Marketwire -04/16/12)- GREAT PANTHER SILVER LIMITED (TSX: GPR....

Bearish pattern of the day - Silver

Silver has formed a "Descending Triangle" on the daily chart. A descending triangle shows decreasing demand and an increase in supply with each...

The Coming Paradigm Shift in Silver

...

Bearish pattern of the day - Silver

Silver has formed a "Descending Triangle" on the daily chart. A descending triangle shows decreasing demand and an increase in supply with each...

Silver Market Update

Is silver becoming a bearmarket, or is a bottom pattern completing that will lead to a major new uptrend soon? That is the big conundrum facing investors and speculators in the sector and in this update it will become apparent that the situation must resolve itself with a decisive move soon, one way or the other.

Will Silver and Platinum Outperform Gold in the Near Future?

Summing up, the long-term picture in the USD market continues to appear a bit more bearish than not and the implications for the precious metals are generally positive. The silver-to-gold ratio chart suggests that silver is likely to outperform gold in the months to come, yet it should be kept in mind that this may require some time to happen. Additional short-term volatility has been seen in the platinum market, but this is not unusual.

New EW Silver Discovery

...

Great Panther Silver Reports First Quarter 2012 Production

VANCOUVER, BRITISH COLUMBIA--(Marketwire -04/16/12)- GREAT PANTHER SILVER LIMITED (TSX: GPR....

On the Money - A Dime a Gallon [Video]

An economic commentary on Ron Paul...

First Majestic Announces Friendly Acquisition of Silvermex Resources

VANCOUVER, BRITISH COLUMBIA--(04/03/12)- First Majestic Silver Corp. ("...

Extorre Reacts to Current Market Conditions and Announces Further High Grade Drilling Results at Cerro Moro

"One drill rig remains on the infill drilling program on our principal prospects, namely Zoe, Escondida, Loma Escondida and Gabriela. Our aim is to ensure that the drilling density is sufficient in areas that would fall within the first two years of a potential mining scenario (at 1300 tonnes per day) to estimate "indicated mineral resources". This program is nearing completion, with the drilling at Zoe, Loma Escondida and Gabriela essentially complete."

Target 2 reached in Silver (Copper target reached)

The second target for the bearish "Head and Shoulders" pattern on silver was reached for greater than $25,000 per contract. The target was using "Measured Rule", which takes the distance from the top of the head to the neckline, and adding it onto the breakdown point.

Silver Market Morning

Gold closed in New York at $1,622.80, the day before the holiday in the States yesterday. A quiet London pulled it back to $1,613.50 at the p.m. Fixing. The morning Fix today the 5th July was set at $1,616.75 and higher in the euro at €1,292.986, up €8 on yesterday’s p.m. Fixing, while the euro stood at €1: $1.2504 down 80 cents. The euro stood at €1: $1.2502 after the Fix. Ahead of New York’s opening gold stood at $1,618.00 in the middle.

Under ATTACK

Do we want the TRUTH or LIES? Gold was ATTACKED by the Cartel today to prevent it from repeating last month’s violation of its “Rule #1” – i.e., “Thou shalt not let PMs soar when the Dow plunges.” Last month, they temporarily lost control when gold had a rare 4% surge with the Dow down 274 points, directly after a similarly horrible NFP report.

A Momentous Day

A momentous day, as the Spanish and Italian stock and bond markets are literally CRASHING. On the day the “Spanish Bank Bailout” was “approved” by the EU – Spanish 10-year yields have EXPLODED to 7.3%, and the IBEX stock index fell a whopping 5.7%. Of course, the “bailout” requires constitution of the ESM, which has not yet been ratified or funded, and won’t be for some time – if at all. Throw in the bankruptcy of Valencia – one of Spain’s largest “autonomous regions” – and you can see why few believe a bailout will ever be received, or that it will MATTER even if it does.

Silver: poor man's gold turning to fool's gold?

Silver bulls may be hoping that the metal's healthy first-quarter price rise is the first step back towards record highs. Not so fast.Its...

March Silver in Backwardation

March silver has been...

Silver Market Update - January 16th, 2012

The diminution in silver's downside momentum and the massive contradiction between our earlier bearish interpretation of the charts, and the...

Silver Market Morning

New York bounced back to $1,573.70 and Asia continued to take it higher, with London running it up to Fix at $1,590.25. The euro was stronger at €1: $12770, where it was when the morning Fixing took place. In the euro it Fixed at €1,245.204. Ahead of New York’s opening gold looked a little better at $1,592.15 and in the euro, €1,246.69 while the euro was at €1: $1.2771.

Managed money positions hint at bullish turns for gold and silver

I have recently written about the breakdown of disaggregated data from the futures markets into producers and swap dealers for gold and silver futures, as reported in the Commitment of Traders reports issued by the US government’s Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). There is a further category of trader to consider, and that is Managed Money.

The Silver Megathrust

Between 1970 and 1979, the silver price was increasing steadily from $1.50 to $6, before taking off in September 1979 from $10 to $50 within 5 months. During that bull cycle, demand for silver did not increase but actually declined (sharply in 1979). It was as late as 1983 when demand increased confidently from 12,000 to 27,000 tons per year until 2000 – yet the silver price was in a 20 year bear market during that time. In 2003, when silver started its new bull market, the demand actually dropped to 23,000 tons until 2005 – during which 2 years silver almost doubled from $4.50 to $8. Since 2005, demand is rising stronger than ever, having reached 33,000 tons in 2010, whereas the silver price is rising strongly as well.

What a surprise: FT says CFTC to drop silver investigation

But such an outcome would be completely consistent with a finding that the really big player in the silver market is not JPMorgan at all but the U.S. government acting through intermediary brokerage houses. After all, as he signed the legislation demonetizing silver in 1965, President Lyndon B. Johnson pledged that the U.S. government would rig the silver market if necessary to prevent the price from rising...

Silver Market Update

The outcome of the Greek vote at the weekend was not favorable for the markets, or for Precious Metals in particular. This is because it did not precipitate an immediate worsening of the acute crisis in Europe, and thus did not create the pressure needed to bring forward the major QE that must eventually come in order to delay Europe's eventual complete collapse. Why then have markets not caved in already? - because investors are "smoking the hopium pipe" and waiting for the Fed to pull a rabbit out of the hat at Wednesday's FOMC meeting, by making positive noises to the effect that QE3 is ready to be rolled out. What is likely to happen instead is that they will come out with the same old line about "being ready to act when the SHTF" but other than that remain vague and non-commital. If this is what they do then markets are likely to throw a tantrum and sell off, and the charts are indicating that it could be hard.

Silver, Gold and The Coming Deflation

Historically gold has made its significant gains, relative to other assets (as well as nominally), not during inflation, but during deflation (Note: I am using the terms inflation and deflation very loosely in this case). These significant gold rallies historically occur when value flees instruments such as stocks and certain commodities.

David Morgan: Seems the bottom for (gold & silver) mining equities is in...

I was recently interview by Jim Puplava and stated what we have been sending to our members. It seems the bottom for mining equities is in and may be tested one more time. The precious metals themselves also could be in a bottom formation currently, but the $26 level on silver and the $1550 level on gold MUST hold. David Morgan www.Silver-Investor.com

The Noose Is Tightening

The noose is tightening on the Powers that Be, as all attempts at MONEY PRINTING, MARKET MANIPULATION, and PROPAGANDA are failing. The GLOBAL economy – and BANKING SYSTEM – is failing, as have been the result of ALL fiat currency systems throughout history. And given that this is the ONLY time EVER when ALL global currencies are fiat –amidst a global population of seven billion people - the crash will dwarf all others in history.

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